Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 273.275943 308.781366 348.258292 395.604845 451.107892 514.426380 592.577376
2025-05-25 225.695775 273.499534 331.493020 407.857410 507.007009 633.124186 808.522497
2025-06-01 195.202797 247.071909 313.556613 406.576847 535.897689 713.247220 981.971583
2025-06-08 171.187033 224.042701 294.746927 398.537008 551.034642 773.622979 1136.477719
2025-06-15 155.514901 209.471726 284.371952 399.077946 576.195989 849.932509 1327.945464
2025-06-22 140.205016 193.335399 269.367457 389.990625 584.246217 899.647222 1484.909885
2025-06-29 129.534784 182.549125 260.598693 388.618858 603.259630 968.904982 1689.682943
2025-07-06 116.885057 167.538284 243.788582 372.203538 594.575283 988.498346 1804.999474
2025-07-13 112.965866 165.297896 246.249637 387.110385 641.110882 1114.017257 2160.271233
2025-07-20 109.805356 163.857055 249.674069 403.795345 692.961383 1258.733852 2596.611140
2025-07-27 104.212837 158.008744 245.253651 406.076593 717.985510 1354.493102 2949.070717
2025-08-03 97.057509 149.033680 234.768197 396.155586 717.706388 1397.035204 3183.339865
2025-08-10 90.659155 140.999262 225.474187 387.933236 720.736967 1449.741214 3467.855727
2025-08-17 88.031323 139.130689 226.761465 399.953374 767.670546 1612.143011 4116.028979
2025-08-24 83.664346 133.917119 221.592125 398.696316 785.761412 1709.826334 4612.138898
2025-08-31 78.776651 127.442032 213.586114 390.847797 787.966345 1768.417176 5008.379104
2025-09-07 75.440751 123.480263 209.885470 391.375853 809.402138 1881.545260 5638.906910
2025-09-14 71.188025 117.588289 202.096337 382.502915 807.303703 1930.746698 6062.238848
2025-09-21 68.191410 113.794789 198.026210 381.163411 823.359218 2034.805663 6748.730685
2025-09-28 63.712489 107.005481 187.680658 365.132168 800.521198 2020.756033 6947.793403
2025-10-05 62.981178 107.154913 190.957950 379.690387 858.231919 2264.227611 8403.834547
2025-10-12 62.423133 107.584100 194.808771 395.981541 923.471656 2551.065278 10277.802628
2025-10-19 60.461864 105.191879 192.728317 398.208657 950.671362 2719.791552 11682.470033